ilmscore | Stock Market Performance After Rate Cuts Predictions
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Stock Market Performance After Rate Cuts

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Recent Predictions

Total: 7
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 3
Pending: 4
Unrated: 0
Prediction
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Predicted at
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Video
There is a 77.3% probability of the stock market rising by mid-December following the rate cuts.
"By mid December, there's a 77.3% chance that the stock market's going to be up from around right now..."
ClearValue Tax ClearValue Tax
Sep 19, 2025
Pending
The Great Melt-Up Co...
By mid-March, there's a 72.7% chance of the stock market increasing by an average of 3.4% or a median of 5.5%.
"By mid-March, there's a 72.7% chance that the stock market's going to be up. On average, it goes up ..."
ClearValue Tax ClearValue Tax
Sep 19, 2025
Incorrect
The Great Melt-Up Co...
Historically, the stock market has seen minimal gains of 0.1% on average and 0.4% median one month after Fed rate cuts.
"On average, one month after the cuts, the market goes up by a measly 0.1%. The median is 0.4%."
ClearValue Tax ClearValue Tax
Sep 19, 2025
Incorrect
The Great Melt-Up Co...
There is a 50% probability of the stock market increasing by mid-October following the September 17th rate cut.
"This means that by mid-October, there's a 50% chance that the stock market's going to go up compared..."
ClearValue Tax ClearValue Tax
Sep 19, 2025
Pending
The Great Melt-Up Co...
Historically, the stock market has averaged a 13.9% increase 12 months after a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
"Over the next 12 months, on average, the stock market goes up by 13.9%."
ClearValue Tax ClearValue Tax
Aug 25, 2025
Pending
Rate Cuts Trigger In...
The stock market has historically increased 100% of the time one year after a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
"after one year, the stock market has gone higher 100% of the time."
ClearValue Tax ClearValue Tax
Aug 25, 2025
Incorrect
Rate Cuts Trigger In...
The S&P 500 has historically shown positive returns in 86% of the 12 months following a Federal Reserve rate cut, based on data since 1929.
"in the 12 months after a rate cut the s&p500 the stock market has posted positive returns in 86% of ..."
Andrei Jikh Andrei Jikh
Sep 18, 2024
Pending
The Fed Just Changed...